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Blogs - Sep 2014

Where Danger Lurks by Olivier Blanchard
Thu, 2014-09-04 18:50

Olivier Blanchard explains how the Great Moderation had created a sense of complacency among macro economists ho had started to beleive that non-linearities , ie small schocks that could cause large adverse effects, were a thing of the past. He then goes on to suggest how benchmark models such as the DSGE need to be adjust to provide warnings for when an economy is close to "dark corners" where the economy malfunctions badly .


The BIS Bashers by Mojmír Hampl
Thu, 2014-09-04 19:57

The Bank for International Settlements exists not just to represent central banks, but also to offer ideas and intellectual feedback. Unfortunately, too many central bankers are seeking to marginalize the BIS in debates over "unconventional" monetary policy.


The Blanchard Danger by Roger Koppl
Thu, 2014-09-04 20:08

Roger Koppl answer to Olivier Balanchard's recent commentary where "Danger Lurks".


The Scottish Independence
Mon, 2014-09-08 20:52

How the Rich Rule by Dani Rodrik
Wed, 2014-09-10 22:20

Widening inequality in the world’s advanced and developing countries inflicts two blows against democratic politics. Not only does it lead to greater disenfranchisement of the middle and lower classes; it also fosters among the elite a poisonous politics of sectarianism.


Will the real unemployment rate please stand up? by B. Rose Huber
Wed, 2014-09-17 21:04

Published unemployment rates have gradually become more difficult to interpret over time, especially in the last two decades.


The System is Working by Daniel W. Drezner
Thu, 2014-09-18 21:54

As the G-20 meeting of finance ministers starts in Cairns, Australia, the Legion of Gloom is at it again, claiming that the system of global governance structures ranging from the WTO and the G-20 to the major central banks is in desperate need of repair. In fact, the global economic order has worked remarkably well since 2008.


Should Venezuela Default? by Ricardo Hausmann, Miguel Angel SAntos
Thu, 2014-09-18 22:05

The fact that President Nicolás Maduro's administration has chosen to default on 30 million Venezuelans, rather than on Wall Street, is not a sign of its moral rectitude. It is a signal of its moral bankruptcy.



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