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Commentary

As the global disinflation shock turns by Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton
Thu, 2016-11-24 07:33
Over the past two years, a significant disinflationary impulse has dampened nominal activity around the world. As this disinflationary impulse fades, however, both nominal and real growth should normalise. Indeed, as this column highlights, the latest signs show inflation and inflation expectations rising, profits stabilising, and capital expenditure inching up.

Inflation and Japan’s Ever-Tightening Labor Market by Bianca De Paoli, Thomas Klitgaard, and Harry Wheeler
Wed, 2016-11-23 23:02

Inflationary pressures are mounting by Hervé Péléraux
Wed, 2016-11-23 22:55

TIPS Liquidity and the Outlook for Inflation by Martin M. Andreasen and Jens H.E. Christensen
Tue, 2016-11-22 04:23
The prices of special securities known as TIPS can give some insight into how investors view the outlook for future inflation. New research uses a novel term structure model of nominal and real yields to estimate how much the liquidity premium embedded in the prices of these securities have varied over time. Accounting for variation in the premiums notably increases estimates of the inflation expectations underlying market-based measures of inflation compensation, particularly during the most recent financial crisis.

Inflation and Fiscal Policy by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz
Thu, 2016-09-15 08:52

Deflation Puzzle by John Cochrane
Wed, 2016-03-09 19:40

Kocherlakota and the credibility calculus of raising the inflation target by Tony Yates
Wed, 2016-01-13 23:30

Validity of the Neo-Fisherian Hypothesis by Narayana Kocherlakota
Wed, 2016-01-13 22:58

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